Rising Housing Inventory | Can Trump's Executive Orders Reduce Costs?


January 23th, 2025

Happy Thursday

Inventory is increasing quickly—faster than homes are going into contract. This shift suggests the market is beginning to balance, though most areas remain significantly undersupplied.

I’d love to hear your perspective: Where do YOU think the San Diego housing market is headed this year?

Take this 5-second poll by selecting your answer from the drop-down menu:

Here are 3 properties, 2 RE news updates, and 1 thought from me + a market snapshot.

New listings, pendings & sales are still climbing. We will continue to see market activity pick up.

Median Prices This Week

Rancho Santa Fe

$7,395,000

View All Stats→

Encinitas

$3,574,999

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Carlsbad

$2,150,000

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3 Properties to check out

1825 Avocado Rd

Oceanside, CA 92054

$1,975,000

Style, space, and views! This beautifully updated 1950s home strikes the perfect balance between modern upgrades and preserved charm—plus, it sits on a fantastic lot.

952 Pearl Dr

San Marcos, CA 92078

$3,995,000

When you think of San Diego views, coastal towns often come to mind—but don’t overlook the stunning gated estates in San Elijo Hills!

132 S Jayton Ln

Encinitas, CA 92024

$789,000
High Country Villas in Encinitas is a fantastic 55+ community, but this condo is not in the age-restricted section. Next door, find an updated 2-bed condo!


2 News Articles

Yes, and no. The biggest immediate factor in lowering the cost of housing is mortgage rates. These executive orders aim to reduce regulatory burdens (that can account for 25% of new construction) & expand the housing supply.

IF construction costs decrease, I don’t anticipate for-profit builders saying, “Here you go, we’ll sell you this brand-new house for 25% less than the ones we sold down the street last year.” However, in recent years, we’ve seen builders offer mortgage rate buy-downs—a savvy, mutually beneficial way to reduce costs for consumers while maintaining their profit margins.

IF regulatory burdens are reduced and builders can construct homes more quickly, the resulting increase in supply could help balance demand and stabilize pricing.

That being said, there are very few new construction communities in North County San Diego, as most available land has already been developed. These changes won’t significantly impact lowering costs in the resale market. Ultimately, the only way that could happen is if inflation is controlled and mortgage rates decrease.

On the flip side, IF proposed tariffs, such as those suggested by Trump, are implemented, they could contribute to inflation, which historically tends to drive mortgage rates higher.

Interesting observation: The number of extra bedrooms—defined as bedrooms exceeding the number of people in a home, even accounting for one as an office—is at its highest level since the U.S. Census began tracking it in 1970.

Meanwhile, household size has dropped from 3.1 people per household in 1970 to a record low of 2.5 in 2023. We’re building bigger homes, but fewer people are living in them. Hmm...

1 Tip or Thought

How A Home Gets Marketed and How You Can Find the Right Agent Anywhere

My client asked me, “When you list my home this weekend, will it show up on major sites like Zillow, Realtor.com, Homes.com, and others?” The answer is yes—thanks to the MLS (Multiple Listing Service).

Here’s how it works:

When your home is listed, the MLS stores all the listing details. With your consent (you can opt-out, though it’s not recommended), third-party sites like Zillow and Realtor.com pull this data from the MLS, display it in their own format, and attract potential buyers. These sites then generate leads, which they sell to real estate agents.

But here’s something you might not know:

While these sites are helpful, they are not the only or even the best way to connect with a trustworthy agent.

Have you ever noticed homes that go into escrow just one day after being listed, leaving you no chance to tour them?

Chances are, those homes were sold off-market. This happens every single week.

That’s why it’s crucial to work with a local expert who’s deeply connected to the market you’re searching in—someone who can give YOU access to opportunities beyond what you see on Zillow.

If you're buying or selling—whether locally or out of state—I can either connect you with a verified, reliable agent from my professional network or assist you myself.

Josh Meltzer

DRE 02098859

REALTOR®

M: 858.585.0309

Josh@Talechia.com

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DISCLAIMER: Due to recent changes by California Association of Realtors, and the SDMLS Clear Cooperation Policy (the “Policy”), Brokers are limited in their ability to share off-market properties. It is the intent of this letter to be in compliance with the Policy. For this reason, Talechia & Associates can only share such property information with clients of Talechia & Associates. If you would like more information on our properties that are not publicized in the MLS, and becoming a client of Compass, please contact Josh (858) 585-0309 or Talechia (858) 229-2181

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California and abides by Equal Housing Opportunity laws. License Number 01991628, 01527235, 01527365. All material presented herein is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but has not been verified. Changes in price, condition, sale or withdrawal may be made without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description. All measurements and square footage are approximate. If your property is currently listed for sale this is not a solicitation.

Compass · 16085 San Dieguito Rd Ste E8 · Rancho Santa Fe, CA 92067 · USA
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Josh Meltzer | Compass Real Estate

Get insights you can read in 5 minutes [or less] for free. 3 inspiring properties, 2 relevant news stories, 1 tip + a market snapshot.

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